15. Apr, 2022
COVID-19 Diagnosis and Incidence of Retinal Thromboembolism
Authors:K. Thiran Jayasundera, MD, MS; Rebhi O. Abuzaitoun, MD; David C. Musch, PhD, MPH
JAMA Ophthalmology Published online April 14, 2022
Modjtahedi and colleagues’ access to the large Kaiser Permanente
database has revealed an interesting and potentially
causal association between COVID-19 infection and the subsequent
incidence of retinal vascular occlusions.1COVID-19can
cause a wide array of systemiccomplications (arrhythmias,
secondary infections,coagulopathies)2 and ocular manifestations (cranial nerve
palsies, conjunctivitis, retinal microvascular changes).3 Vascular
damage underlies the damage caused by COVID-19 to
multiple organs via 2 main mechanisms: disseminated intravascular
coagulation–like reaction leading to hypercoagulability and direct viral infection of the endothelial cells leading to a vasculitis-like picture.4 Furthermore, patients with
COVID-19 are predisposed to embolism formation due to intravascular
coagulation and hypoxia.5 The combination of COVID-19’s vascular damage and higher embolism formation tendencies can hypothetically increase the risk of retinal vascular
occlusion. Previous publications reporting retinal vascular occlusion (artery6 or vein7) secondary to COVID-19 infection have been case reports, which lack a study design (eg,
case-control or cohort studies) wherein hypothesis testing is used to evaluate this association in a group of individuals. In order to test for a causal association between exposure (COVID-19) and disease (retinal vascular occlusion), the following
9 aspects (known as the Bradford Hill criteria) should be taken into account: strength of association, consistency, specificity, temporality, biological gradient, plausibility, coherence,
experiment, and analogy. In the study by Modjtahedi et al,1 the retrospective cohort
study design does assess temporality, as all patients who were diagnosedwithCOVID-19were followed up for 6months todetect the incidence rate of retinal vascular occlusion postinfection. Furthermore, there is support from case studies reporting
occurrence of retinal vascular occlusion after infection with COVID-19.6,7
The strength of association was assessed by the incidence rate ratio, which measures the increment of retinal vascular occlusion incidence from pre– to post–COVID-19 infection. None of the previous publications focusing onretinal vascular occlusion secondary to COVID-19 involved a group of individuals;therefore, none had a measure for strength of association.
Biological plausibility exists between the cause and effect. COVID-19 leads to vascular damage through disseminated intravascular coagulation and a vasculitis-like reaction.
COVID-19 also leads to a higher tendency of thrombus formation through intravascular coagulation and hypoxia.
Vascular damage and thrombus formation are risk factors that
can lead to retinal vascular occlusion.
There is consistency inreporting of this association as findings
of this retrospective cohort study are consistent with
previous published case reports of retinal vascular occlusion
attributed to COVID-19.
Experimental evidence is lacking and would require the
study of COVID-19 infection in large animal models.
The dose-response association between exposure and
disease has not been thoroughly examined. One would expect
that a severe COVID-19 infectionwould lead to more vascular
occlusions; however, thismay be negated by the anticoagulation
regimens initiated in hospitalized patients with severe COVID-19.
In conclusion, the retrospective cohort studybyModjtahedi
et al further strengthens the association betweenCOVID-19and
retinalvascularocclusion.However,thestrengthandconsistency
of this association would be enhanced by further evaluation
includingstudiesthataccessotherlargedatabasesnowavailable,
to provide a robust basis for causality and help determine recommended
strategies for prevention and surveillance.